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Tool // Reliability engineering / Proof that can’t be faked

Conversion funnel calculator: which stage costs you the most revenue?

A funnel works like a series system: overall conversion is the product of every stage's rate, so the weakest stage limits the result. This calculator multiplies your stage rates, then shows how much revenue a small lift at each stage would add, so you fix the right one first.

Currency
Overall conversion
0.60%
Sales
120
Biggest bottleneck
Stage 3
What this means

A 1-point lift on Stage 3 adds about 12 sales ($1,200).

  • Stage 1: +2.4 sales from a 1-point lift
  • Stage 2: +4.0 sales from a 1-point lift
  • Stage 3: +12.0 sales from a 1-point lift
  • Stage 4: +3.0 sales from a 1-point lift

How does the funnel bottleneck finder work?

Borrowed from Reliability engineering: Series system: total = product of stage rates

Ctotal=c1×c2×c3×c4C_{total} = c_1 \times c_2 \times c_3 \times c_4

Reliability engineers treat a chain of parts as a series system whose overall reliability is the product of each part. A funnel has the same structure, with conversion rates in place of reliabilities.

A one-point lift at a low-rate stage raises the total by a larger share than a one-point lift at a high-rate stage, which is why the lowest rate is usually the bottleneck.

Worked example

A US store gets 20,000 visits. Stage rates of 50%, 30%, 10% and 40% give 0.6% overall, or 120 sales. Lifting the 10% stage by one point adds 12 sales, while the same lift on the 50% stage adds 2.

How should I read my result?

Lowest stage under 10%

Start here. Small changes at this stage change the whole result.

Stages between 10% and 40%

Test offers and page changes in order of expected lift.

All stages over 40%

The funnel is healthy. Look for volume instead.

Embed this calculator

Add this calculator to your own page. The snippet includes a link back to the source.

Questions about funnel bottleneck finder

What stages should I include?

Use the steps your buyers take, such as visit, product view, cart and purchase.

Is a one-point lift realistic?

It is a common size for a single well-run test, though results vary.

Does order matter?

No. The product is the same in any order, but the lift depends on each stage's rate.

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